Majority of Iowa Republican Caucus Goers Favor Iraq Withdrawal Within 6 Months
By Chase on Oct 21, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses, Republicans
I reported this back in August: a slim majority of Republican caucus goers favor withdrawing US troops from Iraq within six months, according to data from Strategic Vision, a Republican polling firm.
Strategic Vision has done a poll of Iowans once a month since then, and both September’s and October’s numbers confirm that the August data was not a fluke. Even after Gen. David Petraeus testified before both houses of Congress, Republican support for withdrawal from Iraq has steadied and perhaps even grown here in Iowa, to a whopping 54% in October. Here are the numbers going back as far as Strategic Vision seems to have been asking the question, “Do you favor a withdrawal of all United States military from Iraq within the next six months? (Republicans Only)”:
| Month | Yes | No | Undecided |
| Feb 2007 | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Mar-Apr 2007 | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| May 2007 | 54% | 37% | 9% |
| Jun 2007 | 56% | 38% | 6% |
| Aug 2007 | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Sep 2007 | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| Oct 2007 | 54% | 38% | 8% |
I argued a few weeks ago that I thought this gave Rep. Ron Paul an opening in Iowa, since he is the only candidate who publicly opposes the war.
Strategic Vision also asks Republicans another interesting question: “Do you see President George W. Bush as a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan? In October 5% said yes, 72% said no. That falls in line with the answers Republicans were giving since January. About 70% of Iowa Republicans think it is “very important” or “somewhat important” to have a conservative Republican “in the mode of Ronald Reagan” as their nominee.

Chase Martyn observes and analyzes politics from Des Moines, IA, capital of 2008's first caucus state. He is also Managing Editor of the
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