New Strategic Vision (R) Poll Shows Iowa Republicans Still Want Withdrawal from Iraq

I don’t put much stock in polls, and particularly not in the Republican firm Strategic Vision’s polls, as a predictor of caucus results. You can’t poll a race in which only 10% of the electorate participates — especially when you can’t know which 10% it will be.

But I do follow Strategic Vision’s polls because they have been asking, since January, whether Republican caucus-goers support withdrawal from Iraq within six months. Ever since they started asking the question, more Republicans have said yes than have said no, and it has usually been a majority. The results out today fit with past months’ results:

Do you favor a withdrawal of all United States military from Iraq within the next six months? (Republicans Only)
Yes 50%
No 38%
Undecided 12%

And I’ll note that on the Democratic side, the poll measures a widening lead for Sen. Barack Obama (he’s at 32%) over Sen. Hillary Clinton and former Sen. John Edwards (who are both at 25%). Probably not worth much weight, but still interesting.

On the Republican side (Republican polls are slightly more likely to be accurate, but not by much), Gov. Mike Huckabee is leading Gov. Mitt Romney for the first time, 27% to 24%.

1 Comment(s)

  1. It’s no coincidence that the major anti-war candidates are starting to surge in the polls. The American people are sick and tired of this pointless endeavor to Iraq. Look at the value of the dollar, no longer are we the great prosperous nation that everyone in the world will bow down to. This is why I believe that Sen. Obama and Rep. Ron Paul both have a very legitimate chance at winning. You may discount Paul because of the reverence of his supporters, but the fund raising numbers don’t lie.

    Check out this study of Internet and grass roots support. It might not be representative of the whole population, but notice that the pro-war candidates are no where near the top.

    http://www.spartaninternet.com/2008

    Ryan | Dec 7, 2007 | Reply

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  • Chase MartynChase Martyn observes and analyzes politics from Des Moines, IA, capital of 2008's first caucus state. He is also Managing Editor of the Iowa Independent.
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