My home state of Florida is holding its presidential primary tomorrow in violation of both the Democratic National Committee and Republican National Committee rules. The rule-breaking date was imposed on the state by its Republican state legislature and governor, and those elected officials did not make their decision until after it was absolutely certain [...]

Kudos to Ann Seltzer, pollster for the Des Moines Register, for releasing numbers that confounded almost every bit of conventional wisdom I had ever heard before this week and getting it right. I do not envy her for having to make the decision to release that poll, knowing that her reputation and that of [...]

The recuperation period has begun. Check out Iowa Caucus coverage at Iowa Indy to get your fix. This blog will be where I cover national politics (including the continuing primaries on both sides) now that it is no longer Iowa-centric.
Perhaps the most important news to come out of last night’s caucuses for those [...]

Writing for the Huffington Post, Bev Davis breaks up the neighborhoods of Des Moines and predicts which candidates they will support.
The surprising prediction was for the Southside:
Obama takes it. Edwards comes in second. Hillary Clinton rides in third, unless Biden isn’t viable and then his supporters will actually decide the final outcome.
Mostly middle-class and white, [...]

This blog has been neglected for its far busier cousin, Iowa Independent, where I have been spending most of my time.
But not to fear, I will be posting ideas as they come into my head to this blog over the coming days. And once the caucuses are over, I’ll continue writing about the presidential [...]

On the eve of former President Bill Clinton’s visits to three Iowa colleges, Sen. Hillary Clinton’s campaign remains unsure of whether the roughly 40% of Iowa college students who come from out of state should participate in the January 3 caucuses.
One student at Grinnell College, where over 80% of the student body is not from [...]

The Register had a big piece about home schoolers supporting former Gov. Mike Huckabee. For some, it was news. For readers of Iowa Independent last July, it may not have come as much of a surprise.

I don’t put much stock in polls, and particularly not in the Republican firm Strategic Vision’s polls, as a predictor of caucus results. You can’t poll a race in which only 10% of the electorate participates — especially when you can’t know which 10% it will be.
But I do follow Strategic Vision’s polls because [...]

The most recent national phone survey conducted by Rasmussen found that just 24% of Americans believe Iowa and New Hampshire are lucky because of the attention they are getting from presidential candidates at this time of year. Nearly twice as many — 45% — think we are unlucky.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey [...]

Perhaps that front page article in the Register a week or so ago (and all of the blogospheric banter leading up to it) about the two different John Edwardses was a bit premature, as we see the Edwards campaign use the last month of the Iowa Caucuses to tie everything the former senator said in [...]