By Chase on Dec 6, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses, Republicans | 1 Comment
I don’t put much stock in polls, and particularly not in the Republican firm Strategic Vision’s polls, as a predictor of caucus results. You can’t poll a race in which only 10% of the electorate participates — especially when you can’t know which 10% it will be.
But I do follow Strategic Vision’s polls because [...]
By Chase on Dec 6, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses | 0 Comments
The most recent national phone survey conducted by Rasmussen found that just 24% of Americans believe Iowa and New Hampshire are lucky because of the attention they are getting from presidential candidates at this time of year. Nearly twice as many — 45% — think we are unlucky.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey [...]
By Chase on Dec 4, 2007 in Mike Huckabee | 0 Comments
That’s the word on the street, but I have no confirmation of it. The Huckabee campaign says they will have a “major” endorsement in about 40 minutes, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich happens to be in town for a conference of social conservatives.
If it’s true, it could be a major institutional boon for [...]
By Chase on Dec 4, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses, John Edwards | 0 Comments
Perhaps that front page article in the Register a week or so ago (and all of the blogospheric banter leading up to it) about the two different John Edwardses was a bit premature, as we see the Edwards campaign use the last month of the Iowa Caucuses to tie everything the former senator said in [...]
By Chase on Dec 2, 2007 in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton | 2 Comments
Sen. Barack Obama has said on the campaign trail that he has not been planning to run for President for decades, an indirect jab at Sen. Hillary Clinton, who by some accounts has been planning it. Here’s part of the Clinton campaign’s press release responding to Obama’s claim:
In third grade, Senator Obama wrote an [...]
By Chase on Nov 26, 2007 in Blogosphere, Iowa Caucuses, Politics, Rhetoric | 0 Comments
Not quite, as John Deeth writes today.
Weren’t reading Iowa Indy over the holiday week last week? Here’s what you missed:
Several profiles of candidates’ family members as part of Lynda Waddington’s “All in the Family” series: Cate Edwards, Jill Biden, Craig and Mary Romney, Jackie Dodd, Hunter Biden, and Barbara Richardson. And Doug Burns [...]
By Chase on Nov 19, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses | 1 Comment
There’s a constant tendency to report on poll numbers when they come out that even I succumb to, despite having noted in Iowa Independent’s Power Rankings that “No poll is definitive, nor is any one columnist or pundit. Determining which Iowans will show up to participate in a caucus on a wintry January night [...]
By Chase on Nov 16, 2007 in Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Rhetoric | 4 Comments
In last night’s Democratic presidential debate, Sen. Hillary Clinton was prepared for anything her opponents threw at her. The first ten minutes set the tone of the rest of the night, as both Clinton herself and her fans in the audience slapped down any overt attempts to criticize her. It changed the dynamics [...]
By Chase on Nov 15, 2007 in Iowa Caucuses, Metanarrative | 0 Comments
Tonight, I’ll be in Iowa City on the campus of the University of Iowa for the CNN/Nevada Democratic presidential debate. Iowa Independent has gotten together a group of undecided Iowa college students to watch the debate, and I’ll be asking them questions in a focus group-style discussion afterwards. Video of it will be [...]
By Chase on Nov 13, 2007 in Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses | 0 Comments
A lot of folks seem to think this story is the worst thing Sen. Hillary Clinton’s campaign could have ever done. Others think it’s no big deal at all. Here’s how I see it:
First, I am not surprised by it in the least. The Clinton campaign is scripted, from beginning to end, [...]