My home state of Florida is holding its presidential primary tomorrow in violation of both the Democratic National Committee and Republican National Committee rules. The rule-breaking date was imposed on the state by its Republican state legislature and governor, and those elected officials did not make their decision until after it was absolutely certain [...]

I don’t put much stock in polls, and particularly not in the Republican firm Strategic Vision’s polls, as a predictor of caucus results. You can’t poll a race in which only 10% of the electorate participates — especially when you can’t know which 10% it will be.
But I do follow Strategic Vision’s polls because [...]

I reported this back in August: a slim majority of Republican caucus goers favor withdrawing US troops from Iraq within six months, according to data from Strategic Vision, a Republican polling firm.
Strategic Vision has done a poll of Iowans once a month since then, and both September’s and October’s numbers confirm that the August data [...]

I’m somewhat surprised to be saying this, and it took me a while to come to this conclusion, but I think — given the right set of circumstances — Republican Rep. Ron Paul could win the Iowa Caucuses. I’m not going to say it’s likely, but it isn’t impossible.
Here’s why it could happen:

Huge fundraising: [...]

Just saw a scan of this Florida GOP mailing at Marc Ambinder’s blog:

The Florida GOP has been trying to use their control of the legislature to disenfranchise Florida Democrats, all in an effort to make them angry at the Democratic party nationally. The mailing (above) that they sent out also includes a voter registration [...]

Iowa Independent’s Jay Wagner was one of seven people to attend Colorado Congressman Tom Tancredo’s appearance at the country club in Sibley, IA, over the weekend. The seven people included “two county Republican committee members, three journalists and a smiling couple wearing Tancredo for President t-shirts.”
And he insisted that although his focus on immigration [...]

Conservative e-rag WorldNetDaily broke the news this morning that Alan Keyes, best known for running two unsuccessful presidential campaigns, is running for President again this year:
Keyes told syndicated radio host Janet Parshall he’s “unmoved” by the lack of moral courage shown by the other candidates, among whom he sees no standout who articulates the “key [...]

On the heels of Sen. Barack Obama’s Iraq policy tour through Iowa this week, expect the Obama campaign to release a legislative endorsement announcement very soon. Sen. Joe Biden announced his second House leadership endorsement yesterday, which put the legislative endorsement mini-horserace back in the news. For those keeping score: Clinton is in [...]

When MoveOn.org bought a full-page ad in the New York Times Monday asking the question, “General Petraeus or General Betray Us?” Republicans and Democrats in Congress criticized it heavily. It created quite a stir, and seemed to be the only thing Republicans felt like they could go on offense about during the Petraeus hearings.
Not [...]

The Sioux City Journal’s Bret Heyworth notices that former Sen. Fred Thompson’s daughter may be playing the role of a prop on the former actor’s nascent-but-long-awaited presidential campaign:
Forty minutes into the event, Thompson’s 3-year-old daughter, Hayden, ran onto the convention center stage. Some in the crowd let out a heartfelt ‘aawwww.’ Thompson told Hayden, “Bless [...]